If the Twitter chatter is any indication, Mr. Trump’s hopes appear to relaxation on the navy and abroad ballots. I don’t assume there’s a lot right here. A lot of the abroad and navy ballots have been counted already, together with the entire different absentee ballots. However navy and abroad ballots can nonetheless arrive till right now, and there have been about 8,000 requests that hadn’t but been returned. That is the group of votes — the very-late-arriving abroad ballots — that’s nonetheless left to go.
We do not know what number of of those votes will materialize (there isn’t a lot motive to imagine many). It’s additionally not apparent that Mr. Trump is favored to win these ballots: Even when Mr. Trump is likely to be favored amongst navy members, the cosmopolitan globe-trotter vote is likely to be fairly Democratic.
The pool of remaining provisional ballots might be a lot bigger. In line with the The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, there have been roughly 5,500 provisional ballots in closely Democratic Fulton and DeKalb Counties alone. We don’t know what number of exist statewide, and we don’t know what number of will finally be accepted. However they are going to most likely lean Democratic, as they do elsewhere — with the proviso about this 12 months’s comparatively Republican Election Day vote that we’ve added elsewhere.
The pool of probably fixable however presently rejected absentee ballots may be significant. There have been 2,000 rejected absentee ballots statewide, and voters had till right now to “treatment” their ballots and repair no matter merited a rejection, like a lacking signature. Nobody is aware of what number of will accomplish that, however we do know the absentee vote right here was overwhelmingly for Mr. Biden.
All collectively, Mr. Biden has a really slim however nonetheless clear edge within the state. There’s simply not a lot vote left, and on steadiness what’s out would are inclined to pad his lead. Nonetheless, don’t count on a name quickly. It’s throughout the margin of a recount. This one may not be known as till the outcomes are licensed.
Mr. Biden expanded his result in a couple of proportion level on Thursday, or 9,000 votes, as quite a lot of late mail and provisional ballots broke his manner by a cushty 14-point margin. (Mail ballots postmarked by Election Day that arrive by Nov. 10 are accepted.)
His lead ought to develop additional right now. In line with the Nevada secretary of state, 190,000 votes are left to be counted, and 90 % of them are in closely Democratic Clark County. Thursday’s ballots from there went for Mr. Biden by a fair wider margin than 14 factors. For good measure, the preponderance of the remaining vote — 124,000 — is mail absentee, which has gone for Mr. Biden by a large margin within the state.